Mt. Gox Distribution Triggers Bitcoin Speculation

NAIROBI ( – On May 28, the Mt. Gox Trustee, responsible for the distribution of 141,000 BTC from the defunct exchange, initiated an internal wallet consolidation. This movement, confirmed by former CEO Mark Karpeles as preparation for creditor distributions, led to a significant market response. The distributions are expected to be completed by October 2024, marking the first substantial activity involving these funds in over a decade.

As far as I know everything is fine with MtGox. The trustee is moving coins to a different wallet in preparation of the distribution that will likely happen this year, there is no imminent sale of bitcoins happening.

Mt. GoxCEO Mark Karpeles said on X

As of now, the Realized Cap stands at an all-time high (ATH) of $580 billion. However, new liquidity inflows have slowed since late April. The Realized Cap HODL Waves metric reveals that coins younger than three months account for 41% of network wealth. This indicates a wealth transfer towards new demand, which typically reaches over 70% saturation in bullish cycles.

Mt.Gox balance. Source: Glassnode

Glassnode’s Point-in-Time (PiT) metrics offer a clear view of these movements. PiT metrics are immutable, capturing the state of each metric with known wallet clusters at the observation time. This internal management saw multiple tranches of BTC moved, reflecting the intricate processes of preparing for distribution.

BTC Long-Term Holders’ Market Position

Long-term Bitcoin holders (LTHs) are currently in a position of strength, with very few coins held at a loss. This is a positive indicator of the market’s overall health, as only 0.03% of LTHs purchased Bitcoin above the current price.

Bitcoin Long-term Bitcoin holders percentage suply. Source: Glassnode

Furthermore, LTHs are holding a significant majority of the Bitcoin supply in profit, with over 85% of their holdings currently in the green. This suggests a strong conviction among long-term investors and is characteristic of the early euphoric phase of a bull market.

Only 4.9k BTC held by long-term holders are in a loss position. This reflects a typical early bull market phase. As new all-time highs were set recently, the majority of long-term holders’ supply remains profitable.

Market consolidation near its all-time high (ATH) suggests significant investment at current price levels, increasing sensitivity to price volatility. Notably, short-term holders have a substantial portion of their supply in loss, which is typical during bull market corrections.

As of June 2024, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $70,930.76, marking a 4.29% increase over the past seven days. The market cap reached $1.4 trillion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $35 billion. Renewed speculative activity following the Mt. Gox news fueled the price surge.

BTC/USD 1-day price chart. Source: CoinGecko

The market absorbed a significant amount of distribution from Single-Cycle holders, with prices rallying into the $73k ATH. The $68k level has been pivotal, turning recent buyers’ positions into unrealized profits. This suggests a resilient market foundation, poised for potential upward movements.

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